Politics

Poll Proves Twitter Loves Ron Paul, Mainstream Media Be Damned

A new Pew Poll show Ron Paul tops Twitter for positive coverage and validates supporters claims of media bias, mostly.

Those poor, unfortunate souls at Pew’s Project for Excellence in Journalism have spent the past six months, May 2 to November 27, analyzing over 20 million tweets to see which presidential candidates received the most positive, negative and neutral attention. Ron Paul came out on top.

Paul is the clear winner of the Twitter media primary when it comes to tone. A whopping 55% of the assertions about him were positive, only 15% were negative and 30% were neutral.
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Indeed, Paul is the only candidate who generated more positive than negative assertions on Twitter, blogs and in the news coverage.

On blogs, the assertions about Paul were overwhelmingly positive as well (47% positive, 15% negative and 38% neutral).

This is unsurprising: as in 2008, Ron Paul built his 2012 base largely on younger, tech-savvy supporters who are more likely to use Twitter and therefore are more likely to use Twitter to cheer on their candidate.

Pew’s findings seem to suggest that’s the case: Paul ranked fifth among GOP candidates when it comes to Twitter presence. Most of the remarks were positive, but there were less of them, which means the majority of the people talking about Paul are supporters. Sadly for the candidate, their online excitement has yet to translate to real world results.

Almost every national survey linked at Paul’s fan site put his Republican primary polling at about 8 or 9%. More extreme readings put him at either 5% or 10%, but as a whole the digits show Paul’s still trailing his opponents. Could this lag be because, as Paul and his supporters often suggest, the mainstream media ignores him?

Pew’s research validates that theory — in part, at least: “On Twitter, there were more than 1.1 million assertions about Paul, ranking him fifth among the GOP candidates. He was also the No. 5 newsmaker on blogs. But in the news media, Paul finished next to last in the Republican field in terms of quantity of coverage-ahead of only Santorum.” That’s not saying much: Santorum’s support consistently ranks in the single digits and he is largely seen as an inevitable also-ran.

But most of the “news coverage narrative” about Paul have been neutral, 61%, and though his favorable numbers — 23% — fell far behind the most positively portrayed candidates (Cain, Perry and Bachmann, all with 29% and also all longshots), Paul still has received the least amount of adverse media attention — only 16% of Paul reports have been negative.

Just as with Twitter and blogs, the media’s Paul angle, though smaller in scope, is less biting than with other White House hopefuls. He’s one of the few.

Pew shows that only four candidates have more more positive than negative reports overall: “Bachmann (29% positive, 24% negative, 47% neutral), Huntsman (21% positive, 17% negative, 62% neutral), Paul (23% positive, 16% negative, 61% neutral) and Perry (29% positive, 25% negative, 46% neutral.)”

None of those people are currently front-runners. Two of them, Bachmann and Perry, have already fallen from grace — Huntsman doesn’t have far to fall — and it is unlikely any will win the White House. But at least one of them, Paul, can rest assured that he’ll leave a lasting political legacy.

The intensity of Paul’s support, particularly on youthful Twitter, proves once again than he has energized an entirely new generation of voters, all of whom are helped launch his brand of libertarianism into mainstream politics. Whether those ideas hold remains to be seen, but at least Paul has brought some fresh ideas into the fold, which is more than can be said about some of the other candidates.

  1. December 08, 2011 at 1:44 pm, sailing said:

    You say mainstream media hasn’t been negative but every article that calls him an ‘also ran’ or ‘will not win’ is negative to someone in a contest to win.  Pew doesn’t count that.  But how else do you explain one poll in Iowa this week showing only 4% of the GOP caucusers think Ron Paul could best beat Obama when in fact another poll at the same time shows that in Iowa amongst those same voters, ONLY Ron Paul ties Obama and all other GOP trail him badly?  Clearly the perception of his ability to win is very different from the reality even in polling the same people on their preferences.

    Minimizing him CONSTANTLY as fringe and unable to win is HIGHLY negative coverage.

    Reply

  2. December 08, 2011 at 2:37 pm, NadePaulKuciGravMcKi said:

    cutting-edge real-time news
    puts Ronald Ernest Paul first

    Reply

  3. December 08, 2011 at 7:07 pm, Anonymous said:

    One thing I don’t hear much about is how the polls are conducted: most polls that news outlets use are still polling via land-lines. Most land-line users are (at least among Republicans) members of the old guard, and support the status quo. But unfortunately for the status quo, more and more actual people (i.e. voters) don’t use land-lines anymore. I think it’s around 40 or 50 percent. That could make a big difference later on.

    Reply

  4. December 11, 2011 at 6:56 pm, Kaleb Abate said:

    ‎- Newt took millions from Freddie Mac prior to the residential collapse in ’08-’09
    - He divorced his wife while she was fighting cancer and just can’t stop cheating on her…that’s one of his 3 wives btw
    - His family can’t trust him – why should we? This is a crucial time in America

    ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ஜ۩☆۩ஜ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬
    ★ ☆ ★ ☆ RON PAUL 4 PRESIDENT 2012 ☆ ★ ☆ ★
    ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ஜ۩☆۩ஜ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬
    - Ron Paul is the total oposite – a classy man with deep American values

    Reply

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